Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000144 0.000160 0.000178 0.000198 0.000220 0.000244 0.000272
2025-10-05 0.000120 0.000142 0.000167 0.000197 0.000233 0.000274 0.000325
2025-10-12 0.000105 0.000131 0.000161 0.000201 0.000250 0.000309 0.000387
2025-10-19 0.000092 0.000120 0.000154 0.000201 0.000262 0.000340 0.000446
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000110 0.000148 0.000201 0.000273 0.000368 0.000505
2025-11-02 0.000072 0.000102 0.000142 0.000199 0.000281 0.000394 0.000562
2025-11-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000137 0.000199 0.000291 0.000422 0.000625
2025-11-16 0.000059 0.000089 0.000131 0.000197 0.000297 0.000445 0.000680
2025-11-23 0.000054 0.000083 0.000127 0.000196 0.000305 0.000471 0.000743
2025-11-30 0.000050 0.000079 0.000124 0.000197 0.000315 0.000499 0.000811
2025-12-07 0.000046 0.000074 0.000119 0.000195 0.000320 0.000521 0.000871
2025-12-14 0.000043 0.000072 0.000118 0.000198 0.000333 0.000556 0.000954
2025-12-21 0.000040 0.000069 0.000116 0.000199 0.000343 0.000588 0.001039
2025-12-28 0.000037 0.000065 0.000112 0.000198 0.000351 0.000616 0.001118
2026-01-04 0.000035 0.000064 0.000112 0.000202 0.000367 0.000660 0.001229
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000061 0.000110 0.000202 0.000376 0.000694 0.001325
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000058 0.000107 0.000202 0.000384 0.000724 0.001418
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000056 0.000104 0.000201 0.000390 0.000752 0.001508
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000053 0.000102 0.000201 0.000399 0.000785 0.001610
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000051 0.000099 0.000198 0.000403 0.000809 0.001696
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000198 0.000409 0.000840 0.001799
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000198 0.000419 0.000876 0.001916
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000045 0.000092 0.000196 0.000422 0.000900 0.002012